Share of each SH6 within the selected SH4, in FOB. Top 12 shown.
Each +1% in price coincided with +1.62% in volume (β=+1.62, R²=0.40, n=125) — commodity in upcycle, not classic elasticity with moderate fit.
Dashed line = aggregate β. Bars more transparent = weaker R² (less reliable fit).
| Country | β | R² | n | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong | -4.48 | 0.74 | 125 | very elastic · customer leaves on price |
| China | +2.71 | 0.14 | 125 | procyclical · price and volume rise together |
| Egypt | -2.05 | 0.24 | 125 | very elastic · customer leaves on price |
| United States | +1.49 | 0.01 | 98 | procyclical · price and volume rise together |
| Russia | -0.69 | 0.01 | 117 | elastic · price affects volume |
ordered by average price (highest → lowest) · share ≥ 0.5%
top 30 partners · 12m window ending in 2026-06
| # | Country | Price | Growth 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China | US$ 5.729/kg | +59.7% |
| 2 | United States | US$ 5.715/kg | -4.3% |
| 3 | Russia | US$ 4.867/kg | +87.8% |
| 4 | Mexico | US$ 5.567/kg | +100.7% |
| 5 | Philippines | US$ 4.540/kg | +26.7% |
| 6 | Egypt | US$ 4.959/kg | +39.9% |
| 7 | Italy | US$ 7.522/kg | +41.9% |
| 8 | Saudi Arabia | US$ 5.533/kg | +46.3% |
| 9 | Hong Kong | US$ 5.742/kg | +21.6% |
| 10 | Netherlands | US$ 8.318/kg | +135.3% |
| 11 | United Arab Emirates | US$ 5.285/kg | -3.9% |
| 12 | Israel | US$ 6.530/kg | +32.8% |
| 13 | Chile | US$ 4.917/kg | +27.5% |
| 14 | Indonesia | US$ 4.024/kg | +90.0% |
| 15 | Singapore | US$ 5.085/kg | +31.6% |
| 16 | Turkey | US$ 5.861/kg | +16.7% |
