Each +1% in price coincided with +0.29% in volume (β=+0.29, R²=0.00, n=125) — commodity in upcycle, not classic elasticity with weak fit (noise dominates).
Dashed line = aggregate β. Bars more transparent = weaker R² (less reliable fit).
| Country | β | R² | n | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | +1.14 | 0.04 | 123 | procyclical · price and volume rise together |
| Indonesia | +0.97 | 0.05 | 125 | procyclical · price and volume rise together |
| Thailand | +0.20 | 0.00 | 125 | inelastic · volume hardly sensitive |
| Netherlands | -0.12 | 0.00 | 125 | inelastic · volume hardly sensitive |
| China | +0.04 | 0.00 | 125 | inelastic · volume hardly sensitive |
ordered by average price (highest → lowest) · share ≥ 0.5%
top 30 partners · 12m window ending in 2026-06
| # | Country | Price | Growth 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China | US$ 0.416/kg | +15.3% |
| 2 | Thailand | US$ 0.384/kg | +11.5% |
| 3 | Spain | US$ 0.389/kg | +3.9% |
| 4 | Netherlands | US$ 0.373/kg | +21.8% |
| 5 | Indonesia | US$ 0.340/kg | -21.4% |
| 6 | Turkey | US$ 0.402/kg | +19.2% |
| 7 | Vietnam | US$ 0.391/kg | +23.6% |
| 8 | Iran | US$ 0.368/kg | -32.0% |
| 9 | Pakistan | US$ 0.418/kg | +126.4% |
| 10 | South Korea | US$ 0.350/kg | -9.8% |
| 11 | Bangladesh | US$ 0.382/kg | +36.3% |
| 12 | Poland | US$ 0.332/kg | +1.8% |
| 13 | France | US$ 0.333/kg | -11.8% |
| 14 | Germany | US$ 0.465/kg | -24.6% |
| 15 | Mexico | US$ 0.409/kg | +3.9% |
| 16 | Taiwan | US$ 0.409/kg | -7.5% |
| 17 | Italy | US$ 0.372/kg | -10.0% |
| 18 | Japan | US$ 0.386/kg | -11.6% |
| 19 | Algeria | US$ 0.410/kg | +22.7% |
| 20 | Denmark | US$ 0.331/kg | +21.2% |
| 21 | United Kingdom | US$ 0.400/kg | +30.8% |
